Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AKT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.842332 0.987538 1.144338 1.325537 1.528436 1.747906 2.002512
2025-05-11 0.586751 0.782668 1.015088 1.307638 1.662322 2.074649 2.586202
2025-05-18 0.434072 0.653236 0.936424 1.320302 1.817496 2.429789 3.229894
2025-05-25 0.315911 0.535324 0.842993 1.289415 1.902396 2.695472 3.777592
2025-06-01 0.246073 0.465145 0.795707 1.304357 2.037722 3.025399 4.420149
2025-06-08 0.189925 0.400537 0.741908 1.297080 2.134107 3.302594 5.003178
2025-06-15 0.161175 0.373452 0.738819 1.360382 2.331343 3.725187 5.801128
2025-06-22 0.133415 0.340628 0.719520 1.393161 2.481873 4.086425 6.528045
2025-06-29 0.103648 0.295377 0.670183 1.368868 2.539092 4.311276 7.067609
2025-07-06 0.085875 0.270070 0.651797 1.392598 2.670771 4.649996 7.783335
2025-07-13 0.070792 0.246237 0.631638 1.409417 2.789998 4.973070 8.486612
2025-07-20 0.058237 0.224506 0.611542 1.422854 2.902418 5.288597 9.188521
2025-07-27 0.046041 0.199915 0.582233 1.417734 2.986415 5.569881 9.861114
2025-08-03 0.034591 0.172530 0.541408 1.385186 3.019742 5.772134 10.422199
2025-08-10 0.027518 0.155787 0.521830 1.392613 3.124556 6.095306 11.184955
2025-08-17 0.020234 0.133982 0.484736 1.357986 3.147769 6.282136 11.736385
2025-08-24 0.016176 0.122396 0.471424 1.372509 3.263334 6.628336 12.554387
2025-08-31 0.012320 0.108863 0.449497 1.364498 3.333723 6.898688 13.256617
2025-09-07 0.010862 0.106362 0.459017 1.430152 3.553121 7.436870 14.416728
2025-09-14 0.008972 0.100017 0.455506 1.464153 3.710490 7.871012 15.415982
2025-09-21 0.006496 0.087449 0.429115 1.438860 3.744500 8.085630 16.052476
2025-09-28 0.005210 0.081490 0.423054 1.463516 3.883116 8.493437 17.027231
2025-10-05 0.004088 0.075320 0.414665 1.480995 4.007127 8.878482 17.973208